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Sean Patrick Kelly
Guest

Last year I won an online Oscar pool I participate in every year. Won $50 in Amazon credit (which I used to purchase The King’s Speech and Black Swan).

Anyways, I thought I would comment on the shorts, which I saw at the Lightbox. I think Raju has the best chance at winning live action, even though it was not my personal favorite. Animated will probably to to the flying books short, which I thought was breathtaking (BTW there are 2 NFB nominees)

Andrew James
Admin

Sorry. Brad Pitt is not really a giant giant movie star?

Do you mean in terms of sheer box office numbers? Then maybe (though I can think of at least three movies in which he was comfortably the lead that grossed over $100 million at the box office domestic), but he’s one of the biggest movie stars I can think of. I mean outside of Clooney or maybe Tom Hanks, when you ask someone who is the biggest movie star right now, Brad Pitt has got to be on that very short list right now.

Matthew Fabb
Guest

Certainly a strange sounding MAMO with no background sounds.

I’ll be in Costa Rica for a friends’ wedding during the Oscars and so I’ll miss the whole thing. Also I don’t think I’ve cared less about the Oscars than I have this year. Likely the fact that I’ve seen so few of the movies. Even movies that I really wanted to see like Hugo, Tree Of Life, Tinker Tailer Soldier Spy, I never found the time to go see and will have to catch on DVD (unless they extend or re-release these movies after an Oscar win).

I think the only category that I give a damn about is documentary, to see if Paradise Lost 3 wins. The fact that this series of movies, lead to the release of three convicted men is pretty huge.

In Paradise Lost 3, Damien Echols, the member of the West Memphis Three who was on death row, says that if it wasn’t for the first movie he quite likely would be dead. As it’s the first movie that put a huge spotlight on the case and raised funding for the West Memphis three to appeal their cases and do things like DNA research to help prove their innocence. I think Echols is right and without that first movie the State of Arkansas would have quite likely already killed Echols by lethal injection a few years ago.

A previous MAMO, the 2 Matt’s were talking about how quite rare for a documentary to have such an impact to change the public opinion. These movies did that and changed future events because of them. The Paradise Lost series I think raises the bar on what a documentary movie can do.

So I definitely think it deserves to win and that people in the documentary industry voting for these movies are likely going to vote for it. Of course it’s the Oscars and so I won’t be surprised if something else will win despite the fact that I think it’s a no-brainer for Paradise Lost 3.

Sean Patrick Kelly
Guest

Paradise Lost 3 is definitely my pick.

Marina
Guest

I think Paradise Lost 3 is a favourite to win if only because of the support from the artist community for the WM3 – and it’s a fascinating turn of events particularly for those who have been following the story through the previous 2 films. That said, there’s some amazing stuff going on in HELL AND BACK AGAIN. The front line footage alone is spectacular but the filmmaker makes some interesting choices with the editing. It’s very manipulative but it works like something fierce. I couldn’t help but think that the director was heavy handed in most of the edits but the picture works.

Andrew James
Admin

And yes, strange sense of surrealism when the show starts and I can’t hear spoons clinking and table chatter immediately.

Sean Patrick Kelly
Guest

The Descendants probably will win for Adapted Screenplay, considering that it just won the WGA Award for the same (Midnight in Paris was the winner for Original Screenplay).

Sean Patrick Kelly
Guest

I just decided on my Oscar picks (though I won’t post them in my blog until Sunday morning). I took some of the suggestions in this podcast into consideration, however many are based purely on personal opinion and/or buzz (or, in the case of documentary shorts, IMDB rating).

On a related note, even though I thought that my results from last year (18 out of 24) was one of my best (and indeed I won an online Oscar pool with that number), I was looking at Oscar predictions I made in Livejournal in 2004 (before I started my movie-centric blog) and saw that I got a better result that year (21 out of 24).

I wonder what I will get this year?

Goon
Guest

I saw all the Oscar animated and live action shorts this weekend and I’m not sure the experience made me any more able to pick the winners than if I had guessed 😛 They are all pretty different from each other and it’s not exactly easy to guess which way the voters go traditionally or whatever.

All i know is two in live action are way more like a regular film two others which are quick well-made larks, and one is just a weirdo foreign film.

As for animated, only Flying Books feels like it has an Oscar hook/baitiness to it. Wild Life has the most innovative and interesting animation style but its also the least interesting film storywise.

Matt
Guest

Dudes, dudes, dudes … pretty disappointing. Some good insights, but basing your picks on Costume Design, amongst others, on the basis that that category is only voted on by the costumers branch is patently incorrect. That’s how the NOMINATIONS are arrived at. But for most categories, the entirety of the Academy, nearly 6,000 members, is allowed to vote for the final Oscar. The only exceptions are for the short films, documentaries and foreign film. Those nominations all have to be seen theatrically, so they’re seen by a significantly smaller portion of the Academy. And you correctly note that. But Costume, Editing, Visual Effects, all the technical categories – those are all voted on by the entire Academy and all those are blatantly stated in the Academy rules as “Final voting for the ______ award shall be restricted to active and life Academy members.”

Kurt Halfyard
Admin

OK, this episode is positively surreal with its damn-near silent ‘room-noise’

Mike Rot
Member

Just watched Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close… Christopher Plummer has it in the bag. Unless Sydow pulls a Judi Dench there is no way. Oh, and the film is bad, in case anyone was still curious.